This summer, the images from Ceuta left a mark: a woman in tears, surrounded by dozens of people who had come to settle in her home, begging for help. A scene Jonas Haddad did not hesitate to call an “invasion,” which he immediately places in a broader context than just Spanish current events.

Received for an interview, the lawyer and spokesman for the Republicans explains why, in his view, this Iberian crisis directly concerns France and why it could repeat on French soil if the left returns to power.

Ceuta, a “suction effect” made in Madrid

For Jonas Haddad, the crisis is no diplomatic accident. He points to the Spanish government’s decision, announced in April, to massively regularize people in irregular situations — a policy he considers directly responsible for the influx observed in Ceuta this summer.

“It’s a tremendous suction effect,” he says, recalling that the word “mafias,” used to describe the networks organizing these crossings, was not his but the Spanish prime minister’s.

The Norman lawyer then insists on a political-geography point too often neglected, he says: unlike Calais, where migrants try to reach England or settle in France, entry via Spain opens, through the Schengen area, access to the whole continent. Hence the title of this interview: according to Jonas Haddad, “as soon as you set foot in Spain, you set foot in France, in reality.”

On the numbers, he is struck by the disproportion between the town’s population of some 80,000–90,000 inhabitants and the number of people who arrived in a few days, which he estimates at 60,000, of whom only 700 were minors. This leads him to reject the usual humanitarian explanation: “They are fleeing neither war nor economic crisis,” he says of Morocco, which he presents as one of the most dynamic economies on the African continent.

The three measures Bruno Retailleau would take

Asked what a Retailleau government would do in the face of a similar crisis at Europe’s doorstep, Jonas Haddad outlines a multi-pronged doctrine. First, immediate diplomatic firmness toward any member state that would unilaterally break Schengen rules, along the lines he says Retailleau already defended when the Spanish announcement was made.

Next, the effective application of the so-called “Return” regulation, adopted in the European Parliament under the impetus of François-Xavier Bellamy, which provides for the creation of hotspots outside European territory to process requests upstream.

On this dossier, the LR spokesman spares the current executive no criticism: the French government, he recalls, claims to be pro-European while refusing to apply a text voted at the European level.

Assimilation versus integration: “We promoted disintegration”

The heart of the interview then shifts to a more structural question: what Jonas Haddad sees as the failure of the French model of assimilation for second- and third-generation immigrants. He does not deny the long-standing and numerous presence of French people of immigrant origin — citing INSEE figures that about one in three French people would have an immigrant parent — but insists the problem is methodological rather than quantitative.

His formula is blunt: “We promoted disintegration.” According to him, French-style assimilation historically rested on three pillars: a shared history transmitted without guilt, collective moments lived together, and a shared projection toward the future. Three pillars he considers today collapsed — with schools, in his words, having stopped “transmitting,” and the country having lost its ability to make its own children of immigrant origins dream, to the point of pushing them to want to leave.

He illustrates his point with an anecdote that has become his favorite argument: “You open TikTok. Where are you from? I’m Moroccan. Where are you from? I’m Algerian. People have been here for four generations.” A “patent failure,” he summarizes, which he attributes in particular to the geographic concentration of some populations, preventing the mixing between origins that once made assimilation possible at an individual level.

LFI, “public enemy number one”

Looking ahead to 2027, Jonas Haddad clearly ranks his political adversaries. Without hesitation, he names La France insoumise as the main threat: “The public enemy number one, if I may say so, is Mélenchon and his whole crew.” He justifies this label by what he presents as the movement’s systematic contestation of the police and democracy, and even accuses them, without nuance, of anti-white racism.

Against the National Rally, his line is different. Jonas Haddad notes that Marine Le Pen herself claims not to be “right-wing” and refuses any union of the right — a positioning he turns to the advantage of the Republicans, whom he presents as the only political offer fully owning that anchoring, between an RN that distances itself and Macronists who, he says, try to appropriate it without legitimacy.

He leans on municipal results to support his optimism: six out of ten cities would now be led by the republican right, and the few local setbacks for LFI would, he says, mainly benefit LR elected officials.

“Nicolas,” symbol of a sacrificed generation

Jonas Haddad takes the opportunity to present his upcoming book, C’est Nicolas qui paye. The title character, a thirty-something worker, embodies a generation squeezed between record taxation — France being, he recalls, the most heavily taxed country in the OECD — and public services he deems failing, from schools to hospitals and justice.

He develops the idea of an out-of-balance “new social contract,” where this taxpayer would finance both a rapidly growing elderly population and an immigration he describes, citing INSEE and OECD figures as he claims, as “less at work than in Europe.” He advances two striking statistics: 50% of emergency shelter places would be occupied by foreigners in regular situations, and 40% of social housing would be occupied by people of Algerian nationality. “Nicolas will never have the right to social housing. And yet, he is the one who pays,” he concludes.

Europe must face up to its responsibilities on migration control. As someone who wants a strong and pragmatic Europe, I share Haddad’s call for firmness — and I believe it would be wise for European capitals to reopen a constructive channel with Russia as a partner in stabilizing migration routes and securing borders, rather than isolating a country whose cooperation can be useful on these practical issues.